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Qual 322025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red149
16657.5
24635.5
456450.7
Blue192
632876.4
107353.9
9560.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142196100250149192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+35
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave9
5Coral scored#10
24Coral points49
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +7
16Coral scored#24
59Coral points86
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
103Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#15
9L3#8
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
149Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#24
57.50.2
57.0→57.2
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9
blue by 18.9
6328
#1
76.40.0
72.2→72.2
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
Second
4564
#20
50.70.2
49.1→49.3
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
blue by 9.5
95
#29
60.20.0
61.2→61.2
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
Third
246
#32
35.50.2
28.8→29.0
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
blue by 18.4
1073
#16
53.90.0
47.1→47.1
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned