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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153148130140150160170151121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+28Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +15
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
107Total teleop92
Reef
9L4#9
4L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
2Foul points2
151Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#24
57.51.0
55.156.1
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9
blue by 5.7
63.20.7
59.058.3
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
Second
999
#26
45.01.0
38.439.4
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End3.2
red by 2.7
4048
#46
42.30.7
38.437.7
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
Third
1991
#42
35.91.0
29.030.0
Auto5.1
Teleop27.6
End3.1
red by 14.2
8544
#43
21.70.7
21.721.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned