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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341785010015020025074168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+98
Endgame+88
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +84
7Coral scored#22
24Coral points78
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
0Processor points18
4Net points16
4Algae points34
28Total teleop112
Reef
6L4#9
2L3#8
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#7
13Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points6
74Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#8
79.83.3
80.577.3
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
red by 19.1
2342
#10
60.70.4
59.960.4
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Second
8544
#43
21.73.3
21.017.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 38.6
95
#29
60.20.4
60.060.4
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
Third
501
#18
19.93.3
21.618.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End4.1
blue by 24.9
8626
#37
44.80.4
35.335.8
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned