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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186191160170180200210220176179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +1
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points60
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#8
24Processor points24
24Net points32
48Algae points56
115Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#8
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
176Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#23
71.80.5
71.471.9
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
blue by 4.6
76.40.3
76.476.7
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
Second
2648
#12
59.80.5
49.850.3
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
red by 2.4
166
#24
57.50.3
56.156.4
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9
Third
663
#19
46.30.5
39.439.9
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
red by 10.1
1721
#30
36.20.3
32.733.0
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsMissed90%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned