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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18778050100150200250163113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
36Coral points16
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +31
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points44
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
109Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#5
11L3#6
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
2Foul points10
163Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.60.6
78.577.9
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
red by 39.5
999
#26
45.00.8
37.938.7
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Second
571
#15
55.30.6
49.148.5
Auto11.1
Teleop42.2
End2.1
red by 22.8
32.50.8
29.129.9
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
Third
8567
#22
38.30.6
34.133.5
Auto6.5
Teleop30.1
End1.7
red by 17.3
4925
#45
21.10.8
15.816.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed