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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188144100200250168161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points35
36Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +17
24Coral scored#20
86Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
118Total teleop101
Reef
10L4#8
10L3#9
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
168Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.70.8
85.985.1
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
red by 35.6
7153
#33
56.00.6
47.848.3
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
Second
2064
#36
39.70.8
38.137.3
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
blue by 7.9
2423
#27
47.70.6
51.251.7
Auto14.9
Teleop27.3
End5.4
Third
1729
#48
38.50.8
41.540.7
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
blue by 3.8
4048
#46
42.30.6
40.040.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned