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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148135100120140160180145188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
19Coral scored#26
70Coral points94
2Processor algae#5
6Net algae#6
12Processor points30
24Net points24
36Algae points54
106Total teleop148
Reef
10L4#14
7L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
145Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#38
43.30.2
44.043.8
Auto9.8
Teleop28.5
End5.0
blue by 2.9
509
#40
46.33.4
40.243.7
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
Second
9101
#25
42.10.2
41.641.4
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
red by 0.1
42.03.4
36.039.4
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
Third
1991
#42
35.90.2
29.929.8
Auto5.1
Teleop27.6
End3.1
red by 0.4
246
#32
35.53.4
30.634.1
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned