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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20613350100150250211140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+61Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
0Leave3
12Coral scored#3
58Coral points14
58Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +20
24Coral scored#21
87Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
127Total teleop107
Reef
12L4#10
8L3#5
9L2#5
7L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
211Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#8
79.80.7
77.377.9
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
red by 20.6
7127
#13
59.20.2
54.754.5
Auto9.3
Teleop47.1
End2.8
Second
2342
#10
60.70.7
60.461.0
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
red by 19.5
237
#35
41.30.2
40.640.4
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Third
1073
#16
53.90.7
49.650.3
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
red by 14.2
3182
#31
39.80.2
34.133.9
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned