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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23911850100150200300219127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+102Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
9Leave6
10Coral scored#2
49Coral points10
58Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +60
22Coral scored#13
79Coral points47
3Processor algae#3
12Net algae#5
18Processor points18
48Net points20
66Algae points38
145Total teleop85
Reef
13L4#6
7L3#5
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
47Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points0
219Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.40.2
76.776.5
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
red by 29.4
1058
#34
47.00.0
41.141.1
Auto10.5
Teleop28.7
End7.8
Second
133
#9
74.60.2
71.771.5
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
red by 29.8
8626
#37
44.80.0
35.835.8
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
Third
63.20.2
58.057.8
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
red by 27.0
1721
#30
36.20.0
33.033.0
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned