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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14215780100120180200149178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
19Coral scored#23
70Coral points84
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
98Total teleop132
Reef
6L4#7
10L3#10
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points2
149Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#17
58.70.9
58.959.8
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
blue by 3.6
8013
#14
62.31.7
53.955.6
Auto9.6
Teleop44.8
End7.8
Second
9644
#11
55.10.9
51.051.9
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
red by 4.3
4564
#20
50.71.7
47.949.6
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
Third
8544
#43
21.70.9
17.718.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 24.6
663
#19
46.31.7
39.941.6
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned