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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177184140150160170190200210220159161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +16
17Coral scored#21
60Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
84Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#7
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
159Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#23
71.80.3
71.972.2
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
blue by 4.9
125
#6
76.70.2
80.380.5
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
Second
95
#29
60.20.3
60.460.8
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
red by 0.4
2648
#12
59.80.2
50.350.5
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
Third
6153
#47
22.80.3
21.521.9
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End7.5
blue by 12.2
181
#39
35.10.2
27.828.0
Auto3.4
Teleop28.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned