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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116140608010016018020093148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+53
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave3
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points33
13Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +30
12Coral scored#18
44Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
6Processor points6
16Net points24
22Algae points30
66Total teleop96
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
93Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#46
42.31.0
40.539.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
blue by 13.1
571
#15
55.31.4
48.549.9
Auto11.1
Teleop42.2
End2.1
Second
3182
#31
39.81.0
33.932.8
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
blue by 5.3
999
#26
45.01.4
38.740.1
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Third
246
#32
35.51.0
34.133.1
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
blue by 6.5
42.01.4
39.440.9
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned