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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12116250100150200132188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+50
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
20Coral scored#24
72Coral points87
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
18Processor points24
12Net points12
30Algae points36
102Total teleop123
Reef
9L4#11
6L3#6
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points6
132Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#38
43.30.8
43.844.6
Auto9.8
Teleop28.5
End5.0
blue by 19.9
63.22.0
57.859.8
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
Second
237
#35
41.30.8
40.441.2
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End2.4
blue by 0.8
9101
#25
42.12.0
41.443.4
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
Third
4925
#45
21.10.8
16.617.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 15.1
1721
#30
36.22.0
33.035.0
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned