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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14721650100200250169208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +29
23Coral scored#28
82Coral points99
4Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
24Processor points24
12Net points24
36Algae points48
118Total teleop147
Reef
15L4#14
6L3#8
5L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
169Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
74.61.3
71.572.8
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
blue by 5.2
190
#8
79.80.1
77.978.0
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
Second
7153
#33
56.01.3
48.349.6
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
blue by 20.3
76.40.1
76.576.5
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
Third
8544
#43
21.71.3
18.619.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 24.6
663
#19
46.30.1
41.641.7
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned