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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14614150100200250150128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
24Coral scored#17
87Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
18Processor points12
12Net points20
30Algae points32
117Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#9
5L3#3
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
150Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#24
57.51.4
55.156.6
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9
blue by 3.3
2342
#10
60.70.2
61.061.2
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Second
509
#40
46.31.4
43.745.1
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
red by 6.5
2064
#36
39.70.2
37.337.5
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Third
32.51.4
29.931.3
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
red by 4.2
9710
#44
28.30.2
26.827.0
Auto6.8
Teleop19.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned