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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191192160180200220240226239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +16
24Coral scored#32
86Coral points114
7Processor algae#5
7Net algae#7
42Processor points30
28Net points28
70Algae points58
156Total teleop172
Reef
10L4#16
14L3#10
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#8
47Game pieces#53
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
226Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.73.0
85.188.2
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
red by 7.1
84.63.6
77.981.4
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
1073
#16
53.93.0
50.353.3
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
blue by 8.4
8013
#14
62.33.6
55.659.1
Auto9.6
Teleop44.8
End7.8
Third
181
#39
35.13.0
28.031.0
Auto3.4
Teleop28.8
End2.9
blue by 5.4
1071
#28
40.53.6
35.739.2
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned