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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138221100150200250300151213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+50
Endgame+60
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +47
21Coral scored#37
76Coral points133
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
124Total teleop171
Reef
11L4#14
7L3#13
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#9
35Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points2
151Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#20
50.70.9
49.650.6
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
blue by 23.4
74.10.6
74.675.2
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
Second
8626
#37
44.80.9
35.836.7
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
blue by 15.1
2648
#12
59.80.6
50.551.1
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
Third
1991
#42
35.90.9
29.830.7
Auto5.1
Teleop27.6
End3.1
blue by 23.3
7127
#13
59.20.6
54.555.1
Auto9.3
Teleop47.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned