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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132131100120140160180121144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +15
16Coral scored#18
57Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
89Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#6
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
121Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#38
43.30.3
44.644.9
Auto9.8
Teleop28.5
End5.0
blue by 14.1
166
#24
57.51.9
56.658.5
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9
Second
42.00.3
40.941.2
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
blue by 4.3
663
#19
46.31.9
41.743.6
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
Third
32.50.3
31.331.6
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
red by 11.5
4925
#45
21.11.9
17.419.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned