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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149188100120140160180200220240101162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+39
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points38
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +39
11Coral scored#18
39Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
53Total teleop92
Reef
7L4#12
5L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
101Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#11
55.12.9
51.949.1
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
blue by 21.7
125
#6
76.70.7
80.579.8
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
Second
2423
#27
47.72.9
51.748.8
Auto14.9
Teleop27.3
End5.4
blue by 24.1
4909
#23
71.80.7
72.271.5
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
Third
1729
#48
38.52.9
40.737.8
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
red by 18.6
501
#18
19.90.7
19.919.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned