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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174214150200250300152230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+66
Endgame+78
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points48
30Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +48
21Coral scored#27
74Coral points96
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
12Processor points18
12Net points32
24Algae points50
98Total teleop146
Reef
8L4#15
10L3#9
5L2#8
2L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points0
152Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.10.6
75.274.6
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
blue by 17.6
91.72.1
88.290.3
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
Second
9101
#25
42.10.6
43.442.8
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
blue by 20.2
8013
#14
62.32.1
59.161.3
Auto9.6
Teleop44.8
End7.8
Third
181
#39
35.10.6
31.030.4
Auto3.4
Teleop28.8
End2.9
blue by 7.2
4048
#46
42.32.1
39.541.6
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned