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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196160100250300224171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points24
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +51
31Coral scored#19
112Coral points69
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
24Processor points24
28Net points20
52Algae points44
164Total teleop113
Reef
14L4#8
7L3#6
10L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points2
224Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.62.7
81.484.2
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
red by 24.3
95
#29
60.20.5
60.561.0
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
Second
8626
#37
44.82.7
36.739.4
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
red by 8.6
1721
#30
36.20.5
35.035.5
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
Third
3182
#31
39.82.7
32.835.6
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
red by 3.9
1991
#42
35.90.5
30.731.2
Auto5.1
Teleop27.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned