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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19510650150250204104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+106Teleop
+104Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
6Leave0
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points23
46Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +83
27Coral scored#11
98Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
134Total teleop51
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#7
10L2#2
8L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
0Foul points4
204Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.41.6
76.578.1
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
red by 17.6
230
#17
58.70.9
59.558.7
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
Second
7127
#13
59.21.6
55.156.6
Auto9.3
Teleop47.1
End2.8
red by 36.3
6153
#47
22.80.9
23.022.1
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End7.5
Third
2064
#36
39.71.6
37.539.1
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
red by 19.9
501
#18
19.90.9
19.218.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned