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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19213450100150250164128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points14
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
18Coral scored#17
65Coral points61
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
113Total teleop99
Reef
11L4#8
8L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points2
164Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#23
71.81.6
71.569.9
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
red by 24.8
1058
#34
47.00.8
42.141.4
Auto10.5
Teleop28.7
End7.8
Second
4564
#20
50.71.6
50.648.9
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
red by 9.4
237
#35
41.30.8
41.240.4
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Third
2423
#27
47.71.6
48.847.2
Auto14.9
Teleop27.3
End5.4
red by 9.2
1729
#48
38.50.8
37.837.0
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsMissed