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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159174120140200220240189186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+29Teleop
+7Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +29
29Coral scored#24
105Coral points88
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
24Processor points12
16Net points16
40Algae points28
145Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#8
10L3#10
7L2#6
7L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points4
189Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#12
59.82.6
51.153.7
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
blue by 14.8
133
#9
74.61.7
72.874.4
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
Second
7153
#33
56.02.6
49.652.2
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
red by 9.8
509
#40
46.31.7
45.146.7
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
Third
9644
#11
55.12.6
49.151.7
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
red by 14.6
1071
#28
40.51.7
39.240.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned