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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19711150150250300125163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +39
15Coral scored#24
53Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
81Total teleop120
Reef
10L4#12
5L3#10
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
125Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#6
76.74.0
79.875.8
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
red by 31.7
999
#26
45.02.7
40.142.8
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Second
2342
#10
60.74.0
61.257.2
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
red by 18.6
155
#21
42.12.7
38.341.0
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End5.4
Third
246
#32
35.54.0
33.129.0
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
blue by 2.8
8567
#22
38.32.7
33.235.9
Auto6.5
Teleop30.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned