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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21012650100150250300208152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +34
33Coral scored#18
118Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
142Total teleop108
Reef
16L4#10
9L3#5
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
208Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.11.1
74.675.7
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
red by 13.9
95
#29
60.21.4
61.062.4
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
Second
8013
#14
62.31.1
61.362.4
Auto9.6
Teleop44.8
End7.8
red by 29.8
32.51.4
31.633.0
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
Third
1721
#30
36.21.1
35.536.6
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
red by 14.5
8544
#43
21.71.4
20.021.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned