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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1278950100150200139111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points4
29Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +10
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
84Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
139Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#16
53.91.1
53.454.6
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
red by 11.7
4048
#46
42.31.1
41.642.8
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
Second
2064
#36
39.71.1
39.140.2
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
red by 16.9
6153
#47
22.81.1
22.123.2
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End7.5
Third
501
#18
19.91.1
18.319.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End4.1
blue by 1.2
4925
#45
21.11.1
19.320.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned