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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15216950100200250191182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+21Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +35
31Coral scored#21
112Coral points75
3Processor algae#4
9Net algae#8
18Processor points24
36Net points32
54Algae points56
166Total teleop131
Reef
13L4#10
11L3#7
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
191Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7127
#13
59.22.5
56.659.1
Auto9.3
Teleop47.1
End2.8
blue by 12.6
4909
#23
71.81.1
69.971.0
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
Second
663
#19
46.32.5
43.646.1
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
red by 3.0
5422
#38
43.31.1
44.945.9
Auto9.8
Teleop28.5
End5.0
Third
8626
#37
44.82.5
39.441.9
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
red by 6.3
1729
#48
38.51.1
37.038.1
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned