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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10620450150250174213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+15
Endgame+37
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +32
3Leave9
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points42
19Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +17
30Coral scored#29
107Coral points106
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
18Processor points18
28Net points12
46Algae points30
153Total teleop136
Reef
11L4#17
9L3#10
5L2#6
8L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points2
174Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7127
#13
59.23.5
52.355.8
Auto9.3
Teleop47.1
End2.8
blue by 25.4
84.61.0
76.877.7
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
8567
#22
38.33.5
27.430.9
Auto6.5
Teleop30.1
End1.7
blue by 38.4
125
#6
76.71.0
74.175.1
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
Third
246
#32
35.53.5
26.830.3
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
red by 13.8
8544
#43
21.71.0
28.329.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned