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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11013950100150200110100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+22Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +36
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points38
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
18Processor points12
12Net points4
30Algae points16
90Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
110Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#19
46.30.1
38.538.4
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
blue by 7.7
1073
#16
53.92.2
46.444.2
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
Second
42.00.1
33.733.6
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
blue by 2.8
8626
#37
44.82.2
35.933.7
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
Third
1071
#28
40.50.1
30.230.1
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End4.4
blue by 0.8
237
#35
41.32.2
39.337.1
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned