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Qual 102025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red147
242347.7
50119.9
318239.8
Blue179
346774.1
50946.3
23058.7
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8419750100150250300147179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+28
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
21Coral scored#20
76Coral points73
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
12Processor points24
16Net points12
28Algae points36
104Total teleop109
Reef
13L4#7
5L3#9
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points4
147Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#27
47.72.8
44.2→47.0
Auto14.9
Teleop27.3
End5.4
blue by 26.4
3467
#2
74.10.2
71.4→71.2
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
Second
3182
#31
39.82.8
32.5→35.3
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
blue by 18.9
230
#17
58.70.2
53.9→53.7
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
Third
501
#18
19.92.8
14.4→17.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End4.1
blue by 26.4
509
#40
46.30.2
39.4→39.1
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned