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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153179100200250208172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+56Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points37
45Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +48
33Coral scored#14
117Coral points51
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#9
18Processor points24
24Net points36
42Algae points60
159Total teleop111
Reef
16L4#7
9L3#7
8L2#4
8L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
208Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#10
60.73.2
56.059.2
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
blue by 30.9
91.70.2
82.482.1
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
Second
571
#15
55.33.2
47.050.2
Auto11.1
Teleop42.2
End2.1
red by 13.3
9101
#25
42.10.2
38.338.0
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
Third
1991
#42
35.93.2
27.530.8
Auto5.1
Teleop27.6
End3.1
red by 13.0
6153
#47
22.80.2
28.127.9
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned