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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16312580100140180200220240204110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+66Teleop
+88Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +52
28Coral scored#14
99Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
125Total teleop73
Reef
14L4#7
10L3#5
4L2#3
7L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
6Foul points0
204Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#24
57.52.6
53.656.1
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9
blue by 4.8
8013
#14
62.31.2
51.149.9
Auto9.6
Teleop44.8
End7.8
Second
7153
#33
56.02.6
48.951.4
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
blue by 3.8
2648
#12
59.81.2
47.045.8
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
Third
1058
#34
47.02.6
43.045.6
Auto10.5
Teleop28.7
End7.8
red by 25.9
4925
#45
21.11.2
16.315.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned