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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18112950100150200250158189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+41
Endgame+33
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +34
22Coral scored#29
80Coral points104
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
112Total teleop146
Reef
9L4#16
6L3#8
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#44
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points0
158Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#10
60.70.9
57.256.3
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
red by 5.7
9644
#11
55.13.6
51.755.3
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
Second
230
#17
58.70.9
58.757.7
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
red by 13.7
999
#26
45.03.6
42.846.4
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Third
9101
#25
42.10.9
42.841.8
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
red by 6.6
246
#32
35.53.6
29.032.7
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed