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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219148100200250300213164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +32
35Coral scored#26
126Coral points94
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
160Total teleop128
Reef
18L4#11
11L3#10
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
213Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.60.6
84.284.8
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
red by 28.5
7153
#33
56.00.7
52.252.9
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
Second
63.20.6
61.462.1
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
red by 12.5
4564
#20
50.70.7
48.949.7
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
Third
509
#40
46.30.6
46.747.4
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
red by 4.1
155
#21
42.10.7
41.041.7
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed