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Qual 942025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red142
456450.7
172938.5
971028.3
Blue163
16657.5
318239.8
18135.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314880100120160180200220240142163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +29
15Coral scored#24
54Coral points85
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
24Processor points18
20Net points24
44Algae points42
98Total teleop127
Reef
5L4#6
9L3#9
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
142Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#20
50.71.1
49.7→50.7
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
blue by 6.8
166
#24
57.51.6
56.4→58.0
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9
Second
1729
#48
38.51.1
38.1→39.1
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
blue by 1.3
3182
#31
39.81.6
37.5→39.1
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
Third
9710
#44
28.31.1
27.3→28.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.6
End1.9
blue by 6.8
181
#39
35.11.6
33.5→35.1
Auto3.4
Teleop28.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned