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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157191100200250160203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +40
19Coral scored#31
69Coral points111
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
24Processor points18
16Net points20
40Algae points38
109Total teleop149
Reef
11L4#12
10L3#9
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
160Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#17
58.70.7
57.758.5
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
blue by 4.5
63.21.4
62.163.4
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
Second
42.00.7
42.142.8
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
blue by 18.8
2342
#10
60.71.4
56.357.6
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Third
237
#35
41.30.7
40.641.3
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End2.4
blue by 14.8
7153
#33
56.01.4
52.954.3
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned