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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158231100200250300162172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave0
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points23
39Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
19Coral scored#23
69Coral points81
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
18Processor points18
24Net points24
42Algae points42
111Total teleop123
Reef
10L4#11
7L3#9
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points12
162Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#6
76.70.7
76.777.4
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
red by 0.4
76.43.3
79.075.7
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
Second
571
#15
55.30.7
54.755.3
Auto11.1
Teleop42.2
End2.1
blue by 18.7
74.13.3
75.772.3
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
Third
4925
#45
21.10.7
20.421.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 34.0
9644
#11
55.13.3
55.352.0
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned