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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228189150200250300214194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
0Leave3
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points33
48Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +2
28Coral scored#27
102Coral points98
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
130Total teleop132
Reef
15L4#15
8L3#8
11L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#41
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
214Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.70.2
91.091.2
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
red by 29.4
8013
#14
62.30.3
62.963.1
Auto9.6
Teleop44.8
End7.8
Second
76.40.2
75.775.9
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
red by 17.2
7127
#13
59.20.3
59.760.0
Auto9.3
Teleop47.1
End2.8
Third
3182
#31
39.80.2
39.139.3
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
blue by 17.7
166
#24
57.50.3
58.058.3
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9