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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212191150200250300169188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points35
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +2
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
106Total teleop108
Reef
14L4#9
8L3#9
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
169Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
74.60.6
74.874.3
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
red by 2.8
4909
#23
71.80.3
72.672.9
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
Second
63.20.6
63.462.8
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
red by 3.0
95
#29
60.20.3
61.161.3
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
Third
1073
#16
53.90.6
54.253.6
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
red by 12.0
42.00.3
42.843.1
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7