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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227177100150200250300221197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
10Coral scored#4
49Coral points21
58Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
18Coral scored#24
63Coral points87
4Processor algae#4
12Net algae#6
24Processor points24
48Net points24
72Algae points48
135Total teleop135
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#7
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +24
2Foul points6
221Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#8
79.80.3
78.178.4
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
red by 20.0
2648
#12
59.80.6
59.660.2
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
Second
74.10.3
72.372.7
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
red by 15.4
230
#17
58.70.6
58.559.1
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
Third
7153
#33
56.00.3
54.354.6
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
red by 9.8
509
#40
46.30.6
46.046.6
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1