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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220163100150200250300204211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
10Coral scored#8
48Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
29Coral scored#20
103Coral points71
2Processor algae#6
5Net algae#9
12Processor points36
20Net points36
32Algae points72
135Total teleop143
Reef
17L4#11
8L3#7
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points0
204Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.60.2
85.385.1
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
red by 23.8
2342
#10
60.71.2
57.658.9
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Second
125
#6
76.70.2
77.477.3
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
red by 21.7
9644
#11
55.11.2
52.053.2
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
Third
1729
#48
38.50.2
39.139.0
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
blue by 8.5
1058
#34
47.01.2
43.945.1
Auto10.5
Teleop28.7
End7.8