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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223209150200250300231214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
12Coral scored#11
59Coral points56
65Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +1
27Coral scored#28
96Coral points99
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
124Total teleop123
Reef
20L4#12
8L3#10
6L2#10
5L1 · trough#7
45Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
231Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#8
79.80.3
79.079.4
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
blue by 4.8
84.60.3
84.384.6
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
74.10.3
73.373.6
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
blue by 2.6
125
#6
76.70.3
76.576.7
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
Third
7153
#33
56.00.3
55.355.6
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
red by 17.6
1729
#48
38.50.3
38.238.5
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8