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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207213100150250300171198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
7Coral scored#10
35Coral points48
44Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +11
19Coral scored#26
67Coral points94
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
101Total teleop112
Reef
11L4#12
7L3#10
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#7
33Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points6
171Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
74.60.5
75.174.6
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
blue by 10.0
84.60.2
84.584.3
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
63.20.5
63.763.2
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
blue by 13.5
125
#6
76.70.2
76.676.5
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
Third
1073
#16
53.90.5
54.453.9
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
red by 15.5
1729
#48
38.50.2
38.438.2
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8