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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222225150200250300207203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points49
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +7
26Coral scored#25
94Coral points89
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#8
18Processor points12
28Net points32
46Algae points44
140Total teleop133
Reef
10L4#13
12L3#9
10L2#10
4L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#45
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
207Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.70.0
91.291.2
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
red by 11.9
190
#8
79.80.3
79.379.0
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
Second
76.40.0
75.975.9
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
red by 2.3
74.10.3
73.673.3
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
Third
3182
#31
39.80.0
39.339.3
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
blue by 16.3
7153
#33
56.00.3
55.555.3
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6