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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172209100150250300202219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
31Coral scored#22
110Coral points80
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#9
12Processor points30
16Net points36
28Algae points66
138Total teleop146
Reef
15L4#13
8L3#9
9L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
202Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#10
60.70.9
59.860.7
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
blue by 13.9
133
#9
74.60.6
74.575.1
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
Second
9644
#11
55.10.9
54.155.1
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
blue by 8.1
63.20.6
63.163.7
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
Third
1058
#34
47.00.9
46.147.0
Auto10.5
Teleop28.7
End7.8
blue by 6.9
1073
#16
53.90.6
53.854.4
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3