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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187217150200250300151184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+49
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
10Coral scored#7
52Coral points35
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +43
10Coral scored#21
37Coral points74
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
61Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#10
3L3#9
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +33
16Foul points0
151Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#23
71.80.9
72.771.8
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
blue by 12.8
84.60.4
84.984.5
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
95
#29
60.20.9
61.260.2
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
blue by 16.5
125
#6
76.70.4
77.076.6
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
Third
42.00.9
42.942.0
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
red by 3.5
1729
#48
38.50.4
38.738.4
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8