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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22716650100150200250300259205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+28Teleop
+48Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
12Coral scored#6
59Coral points31
65Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
28Coral scored#29
102Coral points106
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#7
18Processor points18
32Net points28
50Algae points46
152Total teleop152
Reef
11L4#11
11L3#10
14L2#9
4L1 · trough#5
51Game pieces#45
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points0
259Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#8
79.80.9
78.479.3
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
red by 19.1
2342
#10
60.70.9
58.959.8
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Second
74.10.9
72.773.6
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
red by 19.0
9644
#11
55.10.9
53.254.1
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
Third
7153
#33
56.00.9
54.655.5
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
red by 9.0
1058
#34
47.00.9
45.146.1
Auto10.5
Teleop28.7
End7.8