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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228188150200250300216173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+47Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
9Coral scored#9
45Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +47
29Coral scored#14
105Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
133Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#9
15L3#6
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
216Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.70.0
91.291.2
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
red by 19.9
4909
#23
71.80.2
72.972.7
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
Second
76.40.0
75.975.9
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
red by 16.1
95
#29
60.20.2
61.361.2
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
Third
3182
#31
39.80.0
39.339.3
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
blue by 2.2
42.00.2
43.142.9
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7