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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178219100150200250300151196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+39
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points49
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +18
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
88Total teleop106
Reef
12L4#11
5L3#8
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points6
151Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#12
59.80.3
60.259.8
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
blue by 24.7
84.60.3
85.184.9
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
230
#17
58.70.3
59.158.7
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
blue by 18.0
125
#6
76.70.3
77.377.0
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
Third
509
#40
46.30.3
46.646.3
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
red by 7.8
1729
#48
38.50.3
39.038.7
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8